Arkansas Razorbacks vs Duke Blue Devils - Prediction, Preview, and Odds

When: Saturday, March 26th, 2022 at 8:49pm E.T.

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA.

How: TBS.

Spread: Blue Devils -4.

Total: 147.5.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Razorbacks Spotlight

The Arkansas Razorbacks just pulled off a big upset over Gonzaga as 10-point underdogs, now set their eyes on Duke with Final Four aspirations. Offensively, the Razorbacks rank 50th in points per game, 220th in field goal percentage, and 329th in 3-point shooting. Defensively, the Razorbacks rank 141st in points allowed, 45th in field goal percentage, 120th in 3-point shooting, and 233rd in rebounding. 

Blue Devils Spotlight

The Duke Blue Devils were able to outlast the Texas Tech in a great back-and-forth game, now look to put an end to the Hogs run, and extend Coach K’s straight into the Final Four. Offensively, the Blue Devils rank 8th in points per game, 6th in field goal percentage, and 38th in 3-point shooting. Defensively, the Blue Devils rank 126th in points allowed, 94th in field goal percentage, 84th in 3-point shooting, and 112th in rebounding.

Final Say

Arkansas has been grinding through this tournament, but are only shooting 36.7% in this tourney, while Duke has been much more efficient shooting 53%. Duke has been doing it by grinding in the paint as they’ve only made 21 3-pointers in this tourney, which doesn’t bode well for Arkansas’ aggressive style of defense as I foresee Duke living at the free throw line. Duke is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, but it’s Duke, they are always over valued, but in this spot they only need to win by 4+ points. Plus, Duke is winning games going 12-2 SU in their last 14 games, while they’ve gone 7-2 SU in their last nine games on a Saturday. Duke’s been the more efficient machine on offense, and that’s what should separate these two squads in the end tonight. Lay the points and back Duke.

Pick: Duke Blue Devils -4